JAMA

How mRNA Vaccines Could Help Treat Cancer

2026. 5. 4. Source: JAMA

Summary

Colorectal Cancer and Mortality Risk Among Older Adults With vs Without Adenoma on Prior Colonoscopy. Gupta S(1)(2), Liu L(1)(2), Demb J(2), Qin J(2), Earles A(1), Lamm M(1), Huang X(3), Shah SC(1)(2), Chawla N(4), Le Y(2), Loeb TB(5), Dominitz JA(6), Robertson DJ(7), Schoenborn NL(8), Calderwood AH(9), Levin TR(10), Seligman BJ(4)(5), May FP(4)(5). Author information: (1)VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, California. (2)University of California, San Diego. (3)Veterans Medical Research F

Content

# How mRNA Vaccines Could Help Treat Cancer *Published: 2026 May 5* Colorectal Cancer and Mortality Risk Among Older Adults With vs Without Adenoma on Prior Colonoscopy. Gupta S(1)(2), Liu L(1)(2), Demb J(2), Qin J(2), Earles A(1), Lamm M(1), Huang X(3), Shah SC(1)(2), Chawla N(4), Le Y(2), Loeb TB(5), Dominitz JA(6), Robertson DJ(7), Schoenborn NL(8), Calderwood AH(9), Levin TR(10), Seligman BJ(4)(5), May FP(4)(5). Author information: (1)VA San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, California. (2)University of California, San Diego. (3)Veterans Medical Research Foundation, San Diego, California. (4)VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, Los Angeles, California. (5)University of California, Los Angeles. (6)VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington. (7)VA White River Junction Health Care, White River Junction, Vermont. (8)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland. (9)Dartmouth Health, Lebanon, New Hampshire. (10)Permanente Medical Group Inc, Pleasanton, California. Comment on JAMA. 2026 May 5;335(17):1483-1484. doi: 10.1001/jama.2026.2657. ## IMPORTANCE Colorectal cancer (CRC) risk among older adults with prior adenoma is uncertain. ## OBJECTIVE To estimate cumulative CRC risks, non-CRC mortality, and all-cause mortality among adults 75 years of age or older with vs without adenoma at prior colonoscopy (in the latter of whom, guidelines recommend against repeat colonoscopy screening). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Retrospective cohort study of older adults who underwent colonoscopy between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2019, and prior to 75 years of age within the US Department of Veterans Affairs. ## EXPOSURES Colonoscopy with vs without adenoma prior to 75 years of age. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Estimated cumulative incidence of CRC, CRC death, non-CRC death, and all-cause mortality for individuals with vs without adenoma at prior colonoscopy (incidence of CRC and CRC death were compared using the Gray test). For those with adenoma, incidence of CRC and non-CRC death were stratified based on 5 Veterans Affairs Frailty Index categories of increasing all-cause mortality risk (nonfrail, ≤0.10; prefrail, 0.11-0.20; mild frailty, 0.21-0.30; moderate frailty, 0.31-0.40; and severe frailty, >0.40). ## RESULTS Of 91 952 individuals (median age, 71 [IQR, 69-73] years at last colonoscopy; 98% male) who had undergone colonoscopy prior to 75 years of age, there were 25 538 (27.8%) with adenoma vs 66 414 (72.2%) without adenoma. At 10-year follow-up, the cumulative incidence of CRC was 1.1% (95% CI, 0.8%-1.3%) in those with adenoma vs 0.7% (95% CI, 0.5%-0.8%) in those without adenoma (Gray test P < .001). At 10-year follow-up, the cumulative incidence of CRC death was 0.5% (95% CI, 0.3%-0.7%) in those with adenoma vs 0.4% (95% CI, 0.3%-0.5%) in those without adenoma (Gray test P = .005). The cumulative incidence of non-CRC death ranged from 46.9% to 48.4% at 10 years. For those with adenoma, incidence of CRC was substantially exceeded by the cumulative incidence of non-CRC death at 10-year follow-up across all frailty levels (ranged from 34.2% among nonfrail individuals to 82.0% among severely frail individuals). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Adults 75 years of age or older with adenoma at prior colonoscopy were more likely to experience subsequent CRC and CRC death compared with those without adenoma, but cumulative risks were low and were far exceeded by competing risks for non-CRC death. Older adults may consider deprioritizing surveillance colonoscopy relative to other health concerns. DOI: 10.1001/jama.2026.3414 PMCID: PMC13067137 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2026.2088