Glucagon-like receptor agonists and next-generation incretin-based medications: metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits.
Summary
Glucagon-like receptor agonists and next-generation incretin-based medications: metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits The Lancet 2026 Review GLP-1 receptor agonists and next-generation incretin-based medications: metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits Michael A Nauck, Katherine R Tuttle, Matthias H Tschöp, Matthias Blüher Lancet 2026; 407: 892–908 GLP-1 receptor agonists were initially developed to treat type 2 diabetes and have had a transformative eect on its therapy, and are h
Content
# Glucagon-like receptor agonists and next-generation incretin-based medications: metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits
*The Lancet 2026*
Review
GLP-1 receptor agonists and next-generation incretin-based
medications: metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits
Michael A Nauck, Katherine R Tuttle, Matthias H Tschöp, Matthias Blüher
Lancet 2026; 407: 892–908 GLP-1 receptor agonists were initially developed to treat type 2 diabetes and have had a transformative eect on its
therapy, and are highly eective for glycaemic control, with the added benefit of bodyweight reduction and a low risk
Published Online
January 14, 2026 of causing hypoglycaemia. GLP-1 receptor agonists reduce risks for major adverse cardiovascular events (eg, non-fatal
https://doi.org/10.1016/ myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death), and the risk of admission to or treatment within hospital for
S0140-6736(25)02105-1
heart failure. These drugs reduce albuminuria and slow the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate over time,
This online publication has
therefore delaying or preventing kidney failure. Furthermore, GLP-1 receptor agonists (eg, liraglutide and semaglutide)
been corrected. The corrected
and the dual glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) and GLP-1 receptor co-agonist tirzepatide have been
version first appeared at
thelancet.com on approved for treatment of obesity, with clinical trials establishing benefits for various obesity-related conditions:
March 12, 2026 prevention of type 2 diabetes; risk for major adverse cardiovascular events; heart failure, especially with preserved
Diabetes, Endocrinology, ejection fraction; regression of steatosis and prevention of fibrosis in steatotic liver disease; and symptomatic
Metabolism Section, Medical improvements in obstructive sleep apnoea and knee osteoarthritis. Current developments include the exploration of
Department 1, St Josef-
novel indications (eg, neurodegenerative diseases and substance use disorders) with suggestive evidence of ecacy,
Hospital, Katholisches
Klinikum Bochum gGmbH, and the development of small-molecule GLP-1 receptor agonists for oral treatment to improve convenience. Dual (ie,
Ruhr University Bochum, GLP-1–glucagon and GLP-1–amylin) and triple (ie, GIP–GLP-1–glucagon) receptor agonists activating multiple
Bochum, Germany
receptors promise greater ecacy than mono-agonists, especially for weight loss. However, some clinical development
(Prof M A Nauck MD); Institute
programmes have a high burden of adverse gastrointestinal events, and dose-escalation regimens should be optimised
for Clinical Chemistry and
Laboratory Medicine, to reach acceptable tolerability.
University Medicine
Greifswald, Greifswald, Introduction clinical trials, and the elucidation of their mechanisms
Germany (Prof M A Nauck);
Incretin-based medications, developed based on the of action. We provide a forecast for potential novel
Providence Inland Northwest
Health, Division of Nephrology therapeutic potential of GLP-1, have evolved to become indications, with respect to current and future drug
and Kidney Research Institute, highly eective and widely recommended medications developments aiming at improved ecacy and safety.
University of Washington
to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity complicated by Although incretin hormones have a role in the action of
School of Medicine, Spokane,
comorbidities. This Review highlights the history of inhibitors of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4), we use the
WA, USA (Prof K R Tuttle MD);
Division of Metabolic Diseases, their development, the establishment of robust clinical term incretin-based medications exclusively for agonists
Technische Universität benefits and safety in well defined patient populations in acting selectively on GLP-1 receptors (ie, mono-agonists)
München, Helmholtz Diabetes
or on GLP-1 and other receptors (ie, dual or triple
Center, Helmholtz Zentrum
München, Munich, Germany agonists).
(Prof M H Tschöp MD); Ludwig- Search strategy and selection criteria
Maximilians-Universität Discovering the therapeutic potential of GLP-1
München (LMU Munich), Literature for this Review was gathered by searching PubMed
GLP-1 is one of two gut-derived incretin hormones. GLP-1
Munich, Germany (for papers published in English, German, and French, from
(Prof M H Tschöp); Helmholtz database inception to Oct 13, 2025) to identify clinical trials and its primary amino acid sequence were predicted
Institute for Metabolic, Obesity based on the gene sequence of animal and human
with titles that included the drugs exenatide, efpeglenatide,
and Vascular Research proglucagon.1 In 1987, the GLP-1 peptide structure was
(HI-MAG) of the Helmholtz ecnoglutide, lixisenatide, liraglutide, dulaglutide, albiglutide,
identified in gut extracts, and insulinotropic actions were
Zentrum München, University semaglutide (for subcutaneous and oral use), tirzepatide,
of Leipzig and University orforglipron, danuglipron, survodutide, mazdutide, shown,2,3 indicating an incretin role.4 Additional
Hospital Leipzig, Leipzig, milestones in incretin research, eventually leading to the
cagrilintide, CagriSema, or retatrutide; dual and triple
Germany (Prof M Blüher MD) development of incretin-based medications, are shown in
agonists; therapeutic effects on glycaemic control (ie,
Correspondence to: figure 1 (further literature is available in appendix p 3). A
through glycated haemoglobin or plasma glucose),
Professor Michael A Nauck,
meta-analysis of head-to-head trials comparing eects of
Diabetes, Endocrinology, bodyweight reduction, cardiovascular (ie, atherosclerotic
Metabolism Section, Medical cardiovascular disease or heart failure) outcomes, and renal GLP-1 receptor agonists and the dual glucose-dependent
Department 1, Katholisches insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP)–GLP-1 receptor agonist
outcomes; adverse events in individuals with type 2 diabetes;
Klinikum Bochum gGmbH, tirzepatide to basal insulin treatment in type 2 diabetes is
St Josef Hospital, Ruhr-University prevention of progression from prediabetes to type 2
shown in the appendix (p 4). The primary endpoint for
Bochum, 44791 Bochum, diabetes; treatment of heart failure with preserved ejection
Germany fraction, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver these trials was a reduction in glycated haemoglobin
michael.nauck@rub.de (HbA ). These data show superior ecacy for recently
disease, obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome, or osteoarthritis; 1c
See Online for appendix and adverse events in people with overweight or obesity. All developed, incretin-based medications over basal insulin,
and a greatly reduced risk for hypo glycaemia, occurring
authors had collected relevant literature on these and similar
mainly in participants taking sulfonylureas.5 More details
topics since 1987, independent from a formal literature
regarding the development of GLP-1 receptor agonists,
search.
their glucose-lowering and bodyweight-lowering actions,
892
Review
and typical adverse events are described in the appendix
Key messages
(pp 2–3).
• Currently available GLP-1 receptor agonists, and a dual glucose-dependent
Rationale for developing dual or triple agonists
insulinotropic polypeptide–GLP-1 agonist, are highly efficacious and safe therapies for
activating receptors for gastroenteropancreatic
treatment of hyperglycaemia in people with type 2 diabetes.
hormones
• Some of these agents also induce substantial weight loss for people with overweight
The development of dual and triple agonists was based on or obesity (with and without type 2 diabetes).
technical advances enabling the synthesis of peptides • Cardiovascular outcomes trials have established cardiovascular safety of GLP-1
combining amino acid sequences from various peptide receptor agonists; some agents within this class (eg, liraglutide, semaglutide,
hormones, with the resulting hybrid being able to interact dulaglutide, and tirzepatide) reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in
with two or more relevant receptors. The rationale to people with type 2 diabetes, or in those with obesity with atherosclerotic
address glucagon receptor activity was anchored in studies cardiovascular disease (ie, semaglutide).
of obese rodents, which showed that long-acting glucagon • A placebo-controlled, dedicated kidney outcomes trial of semaglutide, a GLP-1
agonists decrease bodyweight and improve glucose control receptor agonist, showed reduced risks for loss of kidney function, kidney failure, and
via mechanisms that include suppression of energy intake, cardiovascular death, leading to approval for its treatment of chronic kidney disease in
elevation of energy expenditure, stimulation of lipolysis, people with type 2 diabetes.
and lipid use.6,7 GLP-1–glucagon receptor co-agonists were • Obesity-associated conditions, such as progression to type 2 diabetes, metabolic
the first dual agonists explored in animals.8 Other dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, heart failure with preserved ejection
prominent examples include GIP–GLP-1 receptor fraction, obstructive sleep apnoea, and knee osteoarthritis, benefit from treatment
co-agonists, which yielded stronger suppression of energy with GLP-1-based medications, with symptomatic relief and improved prognoses.
intake and, consequently, greater weight loss compared • Novel safety concerns, such as non-arteritic ischaemic optic neuritis and critical
with selective GLP-1 receptor agonists.9 The additional reduction in muscle mass accompanying weight loss induced by incretin-based
reduction in bodyweight versus that seen with selective medications, should be addressed but do not seem to affect the overal risk–benefit
GLP-1 receptor agonists was independent of GLP-1 relationship.
receptors,10 and mediated by GIP receptor signalling in • Incretin-based medications are being studied for novel indications (eg,
GABAergic neurons of the CNS.11 Tirzepatide was neurodegenerative diseases and substance use disorders), with prelimary evidence for
developed successfully based on this dual mechanism of preventing dementia and improving Parkinson’s disease. A role in reducing abuse of
action. The concept of unimolecular, incretin-based alcohol and other substances is less clear.
polyagonism was expanded in 2015 with the introduction • Next-generation medications, built on existing incretin-based medications, could
of the first GIP–GLP-1–glucagon receptor triple agonist.12 provide greater efficay (ie, in glycaemic control and bodyweight reduction) and are
This development was based on the assumption that any being studied in large-scale phase 3 trials to establish their clinical benefit and safety.
risk of hyperglycaemia through stimulation of glucagon • When aiming to achieve greater effectiveness, measures should be taken to reduce
receptors would be counteracted by the glucose-lowering adverse events and assure acceptable tolerability (eg, by slowed dose escalation upon
eect of the incretin co-agonist. Consistent with this treatment initiation).
assumption, the triple receptor agonist outperformed
GIP–GLP-1 receptor co-agonists to yield greater weight loss
and further improvements in glucose control in animal the treatment of type 2 diabetes or obesity. Open
experiments, with documented contributions of agonism questions regarding the role of GIP receptor agonism in
at each receptor, as verified in mice with individual genetic the mechanism of action of tirzepatide for improved
or pharmacological receptor inhibition and deletion.12 glycaemic control and bodyweight reduction are
Receptors for gastroenterop ancreatic peptide hormones discussed in the appendix (p 6).
with therapeutic potential, and their possible mechanisms
of action leading to weight reduction and improvements in Incretin-based medications and cardiovascular
glycaemic control, are listed in the appendix (p 6). disease
Cardiovascular outcomes trials (CVOTs) have studied
Trizepatide, a first dual receptor agonist the eects of incretin-based medications reported in
Tirzepatide is currently the only dual agonist specifically populations with type 2 diabetes and in people with
targeting GIP and GLP-1 receptors that has been overweight or obesity with pre-existing atherosclerotic
approved to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity.13 When cardiovascular disease (ASCVD; figure 2).28
compared with the most eective selective GLP-1
receptor agonist (ie, subcutaneous semaglutide), Reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events in
tirzepatide provides greater improvements in glycaemic people with type 2 diabetes
control in type 2 diabetes.14 Tirzepatide also leads to CVOTs were required by the US Food and Drug
greater weight loss than semaglutide for people with Administration between 2008 and 2020 to prove the
type 2 diabetes14 and than liraglutide for people with safety of novel glucose-lowering medications. Most
obesity.15 GLP-1 receptor agonists and tirzepatide are the CVOTs (appendix pp 7–8) have shown significant
currently available incretin-based medications for both reductions in major adverse cardio vascular events
Review
pain-free walking distance in people with type 2
History of incretin-based therapy for type 2 diabetes and clinical obesity
diabetes and peripheral artery disease.34
Year or era Discoveries, findings, and insights
1964–67 Qualitative description of the incretin effect
Reduction of MACE in people with overweight or
1970–73 Discovery of GIP as the first well characterised incretin hormone
obesity and ASCVD
1985–87 Loss of insulinotropic activity of GIP in type 2 diabetes, questioning its therapeutic potential
The SELECT trial recruited people with BMIs of at least
1987 Truncated GLP-1 isolated and functionally characterised as an incretin hormone
1992–93 GLP-1 stimulates insulin secretion and substantially lowers glucose concentrations in 27 kg m² who had established cardiovascular disease, but
type 2 diabetes not type 2 diabetes (HbA <6·5% [48 mmol/mol]). The
1c
1992–98 GLP-1 reduces appetite and ad libitum food (energy) intake primary endpoint—MACE—was reduced, with a HR of
2003–today Development and approval of GLP-1 receptor agonists for the treatment of type 2 diabetes 0·80 (95% CI 0·72–0·90),28 indicating a separation
2007–today Development and approval of GLP-1 receptor agonists for the treatment of obesity between the cardiovascular benefits and glucose-lowering
2016–today Cardiovascular outcomes trials report beneficial effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists on
eects provided by semaglutide. Furthermore, reductions
cardiovascular and renal outcomes
in hospitalisation or urgent medical visits for heart
2013–near future Development of the concept of dual and triple hormone receptor agonists with increased
efficacy for improving glycaemic control and bodyweight reduction failure (18%), all-cause mortality (19%), coronary
2022–24 Tirzepatide approved as the first dual (GIP–GLP-1) receptor agonist for the treatment of revascularisation (23%), and a kidney composite
type 2 diabetes and obesity (mechanism of action still only partially understood)
endpoint (22%; appendix p 9) had upper bounds of
2022–27 (projected) Development and approval of small-molecule (orally absorbed) GLP-1 receptor agonists
95% CIs of below 1·0, but cannot be considered
2024–30 (projected) Development (and approval) of:
Glucagon–GLP-1 dual receptor agonists significant according to the hierarchical statistical testing
Amylin–GLP-1 dual receptor agonists or combinations used.
GIP–GLP-1–glucagon triple receptor agonists
GLP-1 receptor agonist–GIP receptor antagonistic antibody
Mechanisms of ASCVD benefits with GLP-1 receptor
Figure 1: Milestones in research related to the pathophysiology of the incretin hormones GIP and GLP-1 as agonists
parent compounds for incretin-based medications for treatment of type 2 diabetes and clinical obesity GLP-1 and GLP-1 receptor agonists improve fasting plasma
Relevant literature is available in the appendix (p 3). Predictions regarding approvals of drugs currently under glucose and HbA , but also systolic blood pressure,
development are subject to uncertainty. GIP=glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide. 1c
atherogenic lipoproteins (ie, LDL cholesterol, VLDL
cholesterol, triglycerides, and chylomicrons), inflammation
(MACE; comprising non-fatal myocardial infarction, (eg, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and interleukin-6)
non-fatal stroke, and cardiovascular death) in people and bodyweight.35–37 Exploratory mediation analysis based
with type 2 diabetes, with hazard ratios (HRs) ranging on the LEADER and REWIND trials suggested a role
from 0·88 (95% CI 0·79–0·99; REWIND; dulaglutide22) for reductions in HbA and albuminuria as potential
1c
to 0·73 (0·58–0·92; AMPLITUDE-O; efpeglenatide24), mediators of cardiovascular benefits.38,39 In addition, GLP-1
indicating a relative risk reduction of between 12% and and GLP-1 receptor agonists cause a multitude of eects
27% (figure 2A). The ELIXA,17 EXSCEL (ie, exenatide within blood vessels, including on endothelial cells and
2 mg per week subcutaneously),20 PIONEER 6 (oral nitrous oxide production (ie, vasodilation); on monocytes,
semaglutide),23 and FREEDOM CVOT25 trials did not macrophages, and foam cells (reducing their secretion of
show significant reductions in MACE, probably because inflammatory cytokines); on smooth muscle cells
of insucient exposure over a 24 h period29 (for the (reducing their proliferation); and by reducing the activity
ELIXA trial), a high proportion of participants of matrix metalloproteinases (and thus potentially
discontinuing treatment in the EXSCEL trial,20 and low preventing the digestion of the fibrous caps that seal
numbers of MACE events accrued in the PIONEER 6 atherosclerotic plaques),35–37,40 which could explain the
and FREEDOM CVOT trials.23,25 Systematic reviews and prevention of ischaemic cardiovascular events.
meta-analyses of CVOTs with GLP-1 receptor agonists
in people with type 2 diabetes showed reductions in the Incretin-based medications and chronic kidney
risk for MACE by 13–14%, myocardial infarction by disease
10–14%, stroke by 13–17%, cardiovascular death by Kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes (with
13–14%, all-cause death by 12%, and hospitalisation for or without chronic kidney disease at baseline)
heart failure by 11–14%.16,30,31 Findings from the most Clinical trials with incretin-based medications have
recent and comprehensive meta-analysis are displayed reported meaningful improvements in kidney outcomes.
in figure 2B.16 Relative risk reductions were similar in In people with type 2 diabetes with or without chronic
subgroups based on gender, and with or without kidney disease (CKD), GLP-1 receptor agonists (eg,
ASCVD at baseline. Some of these findings have been liraglutide, semaglutide, dulaglutide, and efpeglenatide)
confirmed in real-world studies (appendix p 8). and the GIP–GLP-1 receptor agonist tirzepatide reduced
Tirzepatide, as well as showing some preliminary albuminuria and slowed declines in estimated
evidence of cardiovascular safety,32 was found to be non- glomerular filtration rates (eGFR; appendix p 10). Major
inferior to dulaglutide in reducing MACE, which kidney outcomes consisting of eGFR decline, kidney
implies superiority over putative placebo.33 In addition, failure, and death from kidney-related causes (sometimes
semaglutide was recently shown to increase the including progression to macroalbuminuria; appendix
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Lixisenatide Liraglutide
Semaglutide (subcutaneous) Exenatide once weekly
Dulaglutide Semaglutide (oral) Efpeglenatide
Exenatide (osmotic minipump)
ELIXA p=0·81
LEADER p=0·01
SUSTAIN-6 p=0·016
EXSCEL p=0·061
HARMONY-Outcomes p=0·0006
REWIND p=0·026
PIONEER-6 p=0·17
AMPLITUDE-O p=0·0069
FREEDOM CVOT NR
FLOW p=0·029
SOUL p=0·0055
p 10) were reduced (figure 3).24,41–46In the SUSTAIN-6 slope dierence 1·16 mL/min per 1·73 m², 0·86–1·47),
trial, participants with type 2 diabetes were also more MACE (HR 0·82, 0·68–0·98), and all-cause mortality
likely to remit to a lower risk category in the Kidney (HR 0·80, 0·67–0·95) in hierarchical testing of
Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) risk confirmatory secondary outcomes compared with
classification (HR 1·69, 95% CI 1·32–2·16) and less likely placebo.26 Benefits regarding composite renal endpoints
to progress to a higher KDIGO risk category (HR 0·71, (appendix p 9) have been confirmed in systematic
0·59–0·86) with semaglutide treatment compared with analyses and meta-analyses, including the aforemen-
placebo.47 In post-hoc analyses of clinical trials in people tioned clinical studies.16,31
with type 2 diabetes, tirzepatide consistently lowered
albuminuria and stabilised eGFR compared with active Kidney outcomes in people with overweight or obesity
comparators or insulin for glycaemic control, or with The SELECT trial, a CVOT of subcutaneous semaglutide
placebo.48,49 The FLOW trial was a dedicated kidney (2·4 mg once weekly) versus placebo in people with
outcome trial conducted in participants with type 2 overweight or obesity with an established diagnosis of
diabetes and established CKD.26 Treatment with ASCVD, found a 22% lower relative risk (HR 0·78,
injectable semaglutide 1 mg once weekly reduced the 95% CI 0·63–0·96) for a composite kidney outcome (ie,
relative risk for the composite primary outcome (ie, onset of macroalbuminuria, >50% eGFR decline, eGFR
≥50% eGFR decline, eGFR <15 mL/min per 1·73 m², <15 mL/min per 1·73m², dialysis or transplant, or death
dialysis or transplant, or death due to kidney disease or due to kidney disease).28,50 As only 21% of participants in
cardiovascular disease) by 24% compared with placebo the SELECT trial had an eGFR of less than 60 mL/min
(HR 0·76, 0·66–0·88).26 Furthermore, semaglutide also per 1·73m² or a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio of at
significantly reduced the rate of eGFR decline (annual least 30 mg/g at baseline, these data suggest that CKD
setebaid
epyT
A Individual studies B Meta-analysis
ytisebO
htiw
DVCSA
Number
needed
to treat
3-point MACE 63
Myocardial infarction 141
Stroke 234
Cardiovascular death 139
All-cause death 102
Hospitalisation
199 for heart failure
0 0·2 0·4 0·6 0·7 0·8 0·9 1·0
Hazard ratio (±95% CI)
C
SELECT p<0·001
0 0·2 0·4 0·6 0·8 1·0 1·2 1·4 1·6 1·8
Hazard ratio for MACE (±95% CI)
Figure 2: Results for reductions in MACE from individual cardiovascular outcomes studies (A and C) and for various outcomes from a meta-analysis of
cardiovascular outcomes studies (B) in populations with type 2 diabetes and overweight or obesity with ASCVD
The hazard ratios (for active treatment vs placebo, with 95% CIs) are shown. Results of a recent meta-analysis16 summarising all cardiovascular outcomes trials in
populations with type 2 diabetes are shown for the primary endpoint (MACE), the components of MACE (ie, fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke and
cardiovascular death), all-cause mortality, and hospitalisation for heart failure. Original results were taken from the primary publications: ELIXA,17 LEADER,18
SUSTAIN-6,19 EXSCEL,20 HARMONY-Outcomes,21 REWIND,22 PIONEER-6,23 AMPLITUDE-O,24 FREEDOM CVOT,25 FLOW,26 SOUL,27 and SELECT.28 In the LEADER,
SUSTAIN-6, and PIONEER-6 trials, CKD with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min per 1·73 m² body surface was taken as an equivalent of
established cardiovascular disease. The meta-analysis16 disregarded ELIXA’s results because of the absence of any effects of lixisenatide. ASCVD=atherosclerotic
cardiovascular disease. MACE=major adverse cardiovascular event. NR=not reported.
Review
HR 0·45
(0·20–0·97)
p=NR
HR 0·68
13 Placebo
(0·57–0·79)
Liraglutide 1·8 mg once daily HR 0·79 p<0·001
12 Semaglutide (subcutaneous) (0·41–1·519)
1·0 mg/week p=NR
Dulaglutide 0·75 mg/week
Dulaglutide 1·5 mg/week
Efpeglenatide 4 or 6 mg/week
10 Oral semaglutide 14 mg/day
8
HR 0·64
(0·46–0·88)
p=0·005
HR 0·79
6 (0·66–0·94)
HR 0·85 p=NR
(0·57–0·79)
p=NR
HR 0·78
3 (0·67–0·92)
p=0·003
HR 0·86
2 (0·66–1·10)
p=NR
0
LEADER SUSTAIN-6 AWARD-7 REWIND AMPLITUDE-O FLOW SOUL
Proportion of people 11·3 NR 78·0 35·0 48·4 96·9 NR
with increased urine
albumin-to-creatinine
ratio (%)
Proportion of people 23·1 28.5 94·8 22·2 31·2 79·9 29·2
with an estimated
glomerular filtration
rate <60 mL/min
per 1·73 m² body
surface
Figure 3: Effect of GLP-1 receptor agonists on composite kidney outcomes in cardiovascular and kidney outcomes trials in populations with type 2 diabetes
HRs (vs placebo) are shown with 95% CIs and p values indicating the significance of the difference to placebo treatment. Original results were taken from the primary
publications: LEADER,20,41 SUSTAIN-6,19 AWARD-7,42,43 REWIND,622,44 AMPLITUDE-O,24 and FLOW.26 Results from the FLOW trial regarding a composite of kidney-specific
components of the primary outcome (excluding cardiovascular death) are depicted for better comparability with other studies. This was not the primary outcome of
that study. In the LEADER, SUSTAIN-6, and SOUL trials, chronic kidney disease with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min per 1·73 m² body
surface was taken as an equivalent of established cardiovascular disease. The ELIXA,17 EXSCEL,20 HARMONY-Outcomes,21 PIONEER-6,23 and SELECT28 trials (for people
with obesity with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease at baseline) did not report these outcomes. Details of the components of composite kidney
outcomes in the individual trials are available in the appendix (p 9). In most trials, the primary outcome included cardiovascular death; in this figure, only kidney-
specific composite outcomes are depicted. HR=hazard ratio. NR=not reported.
could be prevented by a GLP-1 receptor agonist. Moreover, Additionally, no relationship between changes in
in people with obesity and heart failure without type 2 bodyweight and eGFR was observed in clinical trials of
diabetes, tirzepatide treatment versus placebo was dulaglutide and semaglutide (selective GLP-1 receptor
associated with a slight increase in eGFR, with a agonists) or tirzepatide (dual GIP–GLP-1 receptor
concomitant reduction in albuminuria over 52 weeks.51 agonist) in study populations with type 2 diabetes or
obesity with and without CKD.53–55 Direct protective
Mechanisms of GLP-1 receptor agonists in CKD eects on the kidney by GLP-1 receptor agonists acting
In a mediation analysis for kidney outcomes (ie, through other mechanisms are therefore probable.
macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine, eGFR GLP-1 receptors are expressed in the kidney,56 primarily
<45 mL/min per 1·73 m², or kidney failure) from CVOTs in endothelial cells and vascular smooth muscle cells of
of liraglutide and semaglutide in type 2 diabetes, lower the juxtaglomerular apparatus.57 Non-intrinsic kidney
levels of glycaemia or blood pressure only moderately cells could also contribute to CKD progression.
mediated 10–25% of these benefits, indicating direct Macrophages and T lymphocytes are important drivers of
action on the kidney by these GLP-1 receptor agonists.52 inflammation and fibrosis within the kidney.37,58,59
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Activation of GLP-1 receptors on these immune cells
Disease or condition Proven clinical benefits of GLP-1 receptor agonists Tirzepatide
converts them to less-inflammatory or anti-inflammatory
phenotypes.58 Mouse and rat models show that GLP-1 Type 2 diabetes • HbA 1c ↓, FPG ↓, bodyweight↓, waist circumference↓ √
ASCVD • Risk for MACE* ↓ √
receptor agonists suppress signals through pro-
• ASCVD at baseline: robust evidence, substantial absolute risk reduction
inflammatory pathways (eg, the receptor for advanced • No ASCVD at baseline: Less robust evidence, smaller absolute risk
glycation end products and Toll-like receptors), possibly reduction
involving GLP-1 actions in the CNS and resulting in CKD • Albuminuria and eGFR decline over time ↓ ?
• Composite kidney outcomes representing kidney function loss of 40%
immunomodulation via parasympathetic and opioid
or 50%, kidney failure ↓
eerent activity.60–61 Accordingly, GLP-1 receptor agonists
HFpEF or HFrEF • Heart failure-related endpoints ↓(eg, hospital admission or urgent ?
reduce kidney inflammation and fibrosis in mouse and
(NYHA class 2–4) treatment for heart failure, cardiovascular death)
rat models of CKD with or without diabetes.60–61 In
Symptomatic PVD • Maximum walking distance↑ ?
humans with type 2 diabetes and CKD, dulaglutide • Pain-free walking distance↑
reduced pro-fibrotic biomarkers in blood and urine.63 In a
Obesity • Bodyweight↓, waist circumference↓, blood pressure↓, triglycerides↓ √
mouse model of sepsis, liraglutide decreased lung injury
Prediabetes • Progression to manifest diabetes mellitus ↓ √
and reduced the death rate,62 suggesting that resistance
to severe illness could be another potential mechanistic ASCVD • Risk for MACE↓ ?
link to improved overall survival, as observed in the HFpEF • KCCQ clinical summary score ↑(heart failure-related symptoms↓) √
FLOW trial.26 • 6-min walking distance↑ √
• Heart failure-related hospital admission (urgent treatment) ↓ √
Incretin-based medications for bodyweight MASLD • Resolution of MASLD↑ √
reduction in obesity • Progression of liver fibrosis↓ ?
Based on the experience of participants with type 2 OSAS • Apnoea–hypopnoea index↓ √
diabetes in clinical trials, GLP-1 receptor agonists Knee osteoarthritis • Pain, stiffness, and physical function (WOMAC) index↓ ?
liraglutide and semaglutide (subcutaneous) and the
dual agonist tirzepatide have been studied in people Figure 4: Proven clinical benefits related to GLP-1 receptor agonists and the GIP–GLP-1 receptor co-agonist
with overweight (BMI 25·0–29·9 kg/m²) and obesity tirzepatide in people with type 2 diabetes or obesity
Details of clinical trials supporting the conclusions presented in this figure are in the appendix (p 12).
(BMI ≥30·0 kg/m²). Higher doses of selective GLP-1
ASCVD=atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. CKD=chronic kidney disease. eGFR=estimated glomerular filtration rate.
receptor agonists are used for treatment of overweight
FPG=fasting plasma glucose. GIP=glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide. HbA=glycated haemoglobin.
1c
or obesity than those for treatment of type 2 diabetes HFpEF=heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. HFrEF=heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. KCCQ=Kansas
(eg, 3 mg/day instead of 1·8 mg/day for liraglutide and City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire. MACE=major adverse cardiovascular events. MASLD=metabolic dysfunction-
associated steatotic liver disease. NYHA=New York Heart Association. OSAS=obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome.
2·4 mg/week instead of 1·0 mg/week for semaglutide).
PVD=peripheral vascular disease. WOMAC Index=Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index.
Tirzepatide 5, 10, and 15 mg/week are approved doses
*Composite endpoint comprised of non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and cardiovascular death.
for treatment of type 2 diabetes, overweight, or obesity.
If treatment with incretin-based medications is Incretin-based medications and benefits for
discontinued, bodyweight will increase at approximately obesity-associated conditions
the velocity as it had been lost with treatment.64–66 The Clinical obesity has been defined as “a systemic illness
extent of bodyweight reduction is highly variable directly and specifically caused by excess adiposity”,
between individuals,64,67–69 and some participants gained “causing illness by altering the function of various
weight even with the highest dose of tirzepatide.69 organs, not only those involved in metabolic
Clinical trials have yielded consistent results regarding regulations”.72 Excess body fat—including the
their eect sizes for bodyweight reduction for each pathophysiologically important visceral adipose tissue—
agent studied (see appendix p 11). In the STEP-8 trial,70 could therefore lead to prediabetes and progression to
semaglutide 2·4 mg/week led to greater weight loss (a type 2 diabetes, metabolic dysfunction-associated
15·8% reduction) compared with liraglutide 3·0 mg steatotic liver disease (MASLD) with fibrosis, CKD,
once daily (a 6·4% reduction); in the SURMOUNT-5 ASCVD, obesity-associated heart failure with preserved
trial,15 tirzepatide 15 mg caused significantly higher ejection fraction, obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome
weight reduction (20·2%) compared with semaglutide (OSAS), and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.73
2·4 mg (13·7%). Weight loss is generally more Symptomatic improvements can be achieved with
pronounced in people with overweight or obesity bodyweight reductions of 5–15% for most of these
without type 2 diabetes, perhaps due to reduced conditions.74 Therapeutic eects of incretin-based
glucosuria and fewer calories being lost.71 Similar medications in such conditions are presented in figure 4
dierences in eectiveness are found when looking at and the appendix (pp 12–13).
reductions in waist circumference, systolic blood
pressure, and serum triglycerides, with dierences in Progression to type 2 diabetes
eect sizes reflecting the dierences in weight loss in Liraglutide, semaglutide (subcutaneous), and tirzepatide
response to liraglutide, semaglutide, and tirzepatide have shown the potential to slow the progression from
treatment.15,70 prediabetes to type 2 diabetes by 66–93% compared with
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placebo.65,75,76 After wash-out periods (of 12–28 weeks), the without worsening of MASLD after 72 weeks of treatment
eects were at least partly maintained. with semaglutide.84 Semaglutide has been approved for
the treatment of MASLD based on these results.85
Obesity-associated heart failure Similarly, approval for tirzepatide to treat MASLD has
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (ie, been announced to be applied for.86 Therefore, incretin-
impaired diastolic ventricular filling) is closely based medications for the treatment of MASLD could be
associated with obesity. Until recently, no specific made available, supplementing resmetirom as the only
treatment was available. Clinical trials have approved medication in the USA and Europe.87
been conducted for semaglutide (in people with obesity
with77 or without78 type 2 diabetes) and tirzepatide (in Obstructive sleep apnoea
non-diabetic people79). Co-primary endpoints in the The risk for OSAS rises with increasing adiposity, and its
semaglutide trials were a change in the Kansas City successful treatment requires substantial reductions in
Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary bodyweight. Liraglutide (3 mg/day) reduced hypopnoea
Score (KCCQ-CSS; an assessment of physical and/or apnoea events over 32 weeks of treatment.88
functioning related to heart failure) and reductions in Tirzepatide reduced hypopnoea and/or apnoea events
bodyweight. The SUMMIT trial (for tirzepatide) used significantly in populations either using or not using
time to cardiovascular death or worsening heart failure positive airway pressure therapy (PAPT); in 50·2% of
events over 104 weeks and a change in KCCQ-CSS from people using PAPT, and in 42·2% of those not using
baseline to 52 weeks.79 Additional outcomes were PAPT, the apnoea–hypopnoea index was reduced to the
changes in the 6-min walking test and bodyweight. range where PAPT would no longer appear necessary for
Improvements in the KCCQ-CSS were described treatment of OSAS. The US Food and Drug
(appendix pp 12–13) and bodyweight was reduced Administration has approved OSAS as a new indication
(appendix p 11). The 6-min walking distance improved for tirzepatide.
more with either drug than with placebo treatment.
More importantly, a prespecified pooled analysis of the Knee osteoarthritis
two semaglutide trials showed a reduction in time to Semaglutide (2·4 mg/week) has been shown to cause
first heart failure event (ie, an event requiring symptomatic improvement related to moderate knee
hospitalisation or an urgent medical visit; HR 0·27, osteoarthritis as well as bodyweight reduction.89
95% CI 0·12–0·56).80 Likewise, the SUMMIT trial (for
tirzepatide) showed a reduction in events regarding Safety and tolerability issues of current concerns
time to cardiovascular death or worsening heart failure Optic nerve and retinal disorders have been found to be
over 104 weeks (HR 0·62, 0·41–0·95),79 indicating associated with the use of potent GLP-1 receptor agonists
improvements in various clinically relevant parameters. (ie, semaglutide) and the dual agonist tirzepatide, such as
The same parameters in clinical trials of semaglutide, non-arteritic ischaemic optic neuropathy, papilloedema,
tirzepatide, and SGLT2 inhibitors in heart failure with macular oedema, retinal detachment, retinal haemor-
preserved ejection fraction are indirectly compared in rhage, retinal tear, vitreous detachment, and vitreous
the appendix (p 14). haemorrhage.90,91 Although such an association has not
been confirmed by other studies,92,93 a small proportion of
Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease people with type 2 diabetes treated with potent incretin-
MASLD is a common complication of obesity that can based medications could be aected (~0·05% over
progress to liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular 2 years).90 Whether or not this association is related to the
carcinoma. Studies have been published for liraglutide potent glucose-lowering ability of semaglutide or
(1·8 mg/day),81 daily injections of semaglutide tirzepatide, potentially leading to a reduced glucose
(0·1–0·4 mg/day; subcutaneous),82 and tirzepatide uptake into neural or retinal tissues after adapting to
(5–15 mg/week).83 A particular focus of these studies was hyperglycaemia, requires further research.
on the prevention of progression, and potential Because GLP-1 receptor agonists and the dual
regression of fibrosis (appendix pp 12–13). The primary agonist tirzepatide support major bodyweight reduction,
outcome for all three studies was resolution of fatty liver including a reduction in lean body mass (of which ~50%
disease without worsening of fibrosis, and significant is muscle mass), there is concern that this could also lead
improvements were noted. In addition, liraglutide led to to a critical reduction in muscle mass and, consequently,
fewer participants with a worsening fibrosis stage,81 to related functional impairments.94 Older people with
semaglutide showed a trend for improvements in fibrosis sarcopenia before starting such treatment could be at
stage,82 and tirzepatide led to an increased proportion of particular risk.95 Concerns are mainly based on inferences
participants reaching an improvement in fibrosis by at from the numerical reduction in muscle mass observed
least one stage.83 A recent study reported significant with incretin-based weight-loss medications. We are not
eects on the resolution of MASLD without worsening aware of any systematic assessment of functional
of fibrosis, but also significant improvements in fibrosis impairments (eg, inability to rise from a sitting to a
898
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standing position) arising from use of incretin-based once weekly) increased abstinence by 70%.109 Results
medications. Furthermore, whether a somewhat reduced regarding alcohol use also range from no significant
muscle mass is functionally appropriate after major overall eect on heavy drinking days—except for a
weight loss (eg, 15% bodyweight reduction), is unclear. In subgroup with BMIs greater than 30 kg/m² with exenatide
addition, although incretin-based medications once weekly110—to a 29% reduction in alcohol consumption
numerically reduce muscle mass, they could also improve with dulaglutide111 and a reduced rate of alcohol
muscle quality by reducing intramuscular fat infiltration, intoxication with diverse GLP-1 receptor agonists.112 A
as shown with tirzepatide.96 Further research is needed recent clinical trial with once-weekly semaglutide
before the importance of this risk can be estimated,94 and (1 mg/week) reported reduced alcohol self-administration
pharmacological treatments are being developed to and lower peak breath alcohol concentrations compared
address the preservation of muscle mass during treatment with placebo, but no change in average drinks per day, the
with GLP-1 receptor agonists.97 number of drinking days, or weekly alcohol cravings.113
Other safety and tolerability issues associated with For opioid dependence, exenatide reduced oxycodone
established incretin-based medications are presented in intake,114 but not morphine intake,115 and liraglutide
the appendix (pp 18–19). Putative reasons for underusing reduced heroin intake116 in rodents, indicating some
incretin-based medications and for poor adherence to and heterogeneity regarding the type of opioid drug. In an
persistence with treatment, which are potentially related observational study based on a database of electronic
to safety concerns, are also available (appendix p 19). health records, the risk of opioid overdose was reduced
by 42–68% with semaglutide versus other glucose-
New indications for established GLP-1 receptor lowering medication classes.117 Although animal studies
agonists suggest an interference of GLP-1 receptor agonists with
Neurodegenerative diseases and substance use disorders cocaine self-administration,118 this was not confirmed in a
Novel fields of use appear possible for GLP-1 receptor clinical trial with short-term exenatide administration.119
agonists and tirzepatide based on recent exploratory Various clinical trials in the area of neurodegenerative
research. GLP-1 is involved in cognitive brain function and diseases and substance abuse disorders are underway to
learning,98 and the GLP-1 receptor agonist liraglutide potentially support the use of GLP-1 receptor agonists for
interferes with cognitive decline in individuals with type 2 such conditions (appendix pp 16–17).
diabetes.99 Therefore, therapeutic actions in neuro-
degenerative diseases, such as Alzheimer’s dementia and Next-generation incretin-based medications for
Parkinson’s disease, have been explored both in animal easier use or increased efficacy
models and in clinical trials (appendix pp 16–17). A recent Over the past 10–15 years, the armamentarium of
meta-analysis reported significant reductions in the incretin-based medications has greatly increased. One
incidence of all-cause dementia with GLP-1 receptor focus of research was the development of small
agonists, but not with SGLT2 inhibitors, with no significant molecules, readily absorbed from the gastrointestinal
dierences for Alzheimer’s or vascular forms of tract, which can oer oral therapy to activate GLP-1 and
dementia.100 A dedicated prospective study (ie, the EVOKE other receptors. Another focus was the development of For the dedicated prospective
study, NCT04777396), however, found no significant peptides that can specifically interact with more than study see https://clinicaltrials.
dierences in disease progression between treatment with one receptor. Tirzepatide is currently the only approved gov/study/NCT04777396
semaglutide or placebo.1101 agent of this type.
Three clinical trials consistently describe a slowed
decline in motor function when using the short-acting Oral small-molecule GLP-1 receptor agonists
GLP-1 receptor agonists exenatide and lixisenatide in Small-molecule, orally bioavailable, synthetic non-
people with Parkinson’s disease;102–104 however, this decline peptide GLP-1 receptor agonists can provide an eective
was not confirmed in a study using exenatide once pharmacotherapy as an alternative to peptide-based
weekly105 or in another recent trial of NLY01, a brain- GLP-1 receptor agonists, without a need for injection.120,121
penetrant, pegylated exenatide.106 Less definite infor mation Orforglipron is such a molecule (table). The ecacy and
is available regarding other neurodegenerative diseases safety of orforglipron have been investigated in phase 3
(eg, Huntington’s disease107). Because GLP-1 interacts with clinical trials in people with overweight or obesity130,141 and
neurons in brain areas involved in the homeostatic and early type 2 diabetes.122
hedonic regulation of food intake, the role of GLP-1 In adults with overweight or obesity, plus at least
synthesised in the CNS, and of GLP-1 receptor agonists one weight-related coexisting condition, but without
administered peripherally, in interference with substance type 2 diabetes, the maximum reduction in weight at
use disorders has been a focus of research in recent week 72 was 11·2% with orforglipron 36 mg/day versus
years.108 Varying results have been reported for the role 2·1 % with placebo.130 Orforglipron is further under
of GLP-1 and GLP-1 receptor agonists in inducing or investigation as a potential treatment for obesity in the
maintaining abstinence from nicotine use (appendix phase 3 ATTAIN programme. The ATTAIN-2 study
pp 16–17), but the GLP-1 receptor agonist exenatide (given reported a placebo-subtracted bodyweight reduction by
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up to 7·1% (95% CI 6·1–8·2).142 In people with type 2 bodyweight reduction of up to 5·9% (4·4–7·4) versus
diabetes, the maximum reduction in HbA with baseline.122 Gastrointestinal tolerability has been
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orforglipron was 1·1% (0·8–1·3) or 12 (9–14) mmol/mol improved since a previous phase 2 trial143 by prolonging
for 36 mg per day (placebo-corrected), along with a the dose-escalation period (up to 20 weeks), but remained
Compound or Dose range and Reduction in Reduction in HbA , Other prominent findings Reference Ongoing clinical trials
1c
preparation duration bodyweight, percentage points vs (ClinicalTrials.gov)
percentage of baseline value
baseline value (95% CI; placebo-
(95% CI; placebo- subtracted)
subtracted)
Type 2 diabetes
Small-molecule, Orforglipron 3–36 mg once daily vs Up to 5·9% (4·4–7·4) Up to 1·07% Low drug discontinuation due to Rosenstock NCT06045221
oral GLP-1 receptor placebo over with 36 mg/day (0·81–1·33) with adverse events (<5·7%); weight et al (2025)122 (vs semaglutide)
agonist 40 weeks highest dose plateau not reached (ACHIEVE-1)
Biased GLP-1 Ecnoglutide 0·4–1·2 mg/week over Up to 2·8% Up to 1·8% (1·4–2·3; Low burden of nausea and Zhu et al NCT05680155
receptor agonist 20 weeks (–3·6 to 1·9) highest dose) vomiting or drug discontinuation (2024)123 (vs placebo)
(reduced β-arrestin
recruitment)
Biased GLP-1 Ecnoglutide 0·6 or 1·2 mg/week Up to 5·7 ± 0·3% Up to 1·8 ± 0·05% Low drug discontinuation due to He et al NA
receptor agonist over 52 weeks (SEM); change vs (SEM); change vs adverse events (up to 4%) (2025)124
(reduced β-arrestin dulaglutide dulaglutide
recruitment) 1·5 mg/week –3·0% 1·5 mg/week 0·25%
(– 3·7 to –2·2) (–0·40 to –0·11)
Dual glucagon– Survodutide 0·3–2·7 mg/week; Up to 7·5% (95% CI Up to 1·7 % (1·5–1·9) High drug discontinuation due to Blüher et al NCT06066528 (focus
GLP-1 receptor 1·2–1·8 mg once every not reported) vs placebo (0·2%) adverse events (up to 30%); (2023)125 on weight reduction)
agonist 2 weeks over weight plateau not reached
16 weeks
Dual glucagon– Mazdutide 3–6 mg/week over Up to 5·7% (3·9–7·6) Up to 1·7% (1·3–2·1) No treatment discontinuation Zhang et al NA
GLP-1 receptor 20 weeks with 6 mg/week with 3 mg/week due to adverse events (2024)126
agonist
Amylin–GLP-1 Cagrilintide– Cagrilintide 10·4% (9·5–11·2) 1·4% (1·2–1·6) Improved physical function Davies et al NCT06323161 (vs
receptor agonist semaglutide 2·4 mg/week; (according to IWQOL-Lite-CT and (2025)127 once-daily insulin); NCT
combination semaglutide SF-36v2 scores); drug (REDEFINE-2) 06323174 (vs diet and
2·4 mg/week for discontinuation due to adverse exercise)
68 weeks events 8·4%; weight plateau
reached
Triple GIP–GLP-1– Retatrutide 0·5–12 mg/week over Up to 13·9% Up to 1·9% (1·3–2·4) High drug discontinuation due to Rosenstock NCT06260722
glucagon receptor 36 weeks (10·7–17·1) with with highest dose; adverse events (up to 17%); et al (2023)128 (vs semaglutide);
co-agonist highest dose efficacy estimand weight plateau not reached NCT06354660 (not
controlled on diet and
exercise)
GLP-1 receptor Maridebart 140–420 mg every Up to 12·3% (9·2–15·3) Up to 1·5% (1·0–1·9) Nausea in up to 59%, vomiting in Jastreboff et al NCT06660173 (adults);
agonist–GIP cafraglutide 4 weeks for 52 weeks up to 75%, drug discontinuation (2025)129 NCT06858878 (with
receptor due to adverse events up to 19%; obesity or overweight)
antagonistic bodyweight plateau not reached
antibody
Obesity and overweight
Small-molecule, Orforglipron 6–36 mg once daily vs Up to 9·1% (8·1–10·1) Up to 0·3% (several High drug discontinuation rate Wharton et al NCT05869903 (obesity
oral GLP-1 receptor placebo over 72 weeks doses; SEM 0·0%) (up to 24%), up to 7% due to (2025)130 with weight-related
agonist gastrointestinal adverse events; comorbidities);
weight plateau reached after NCT06649045
~52 weeks (obstructive sleep
apnoea syndrome)
Biased GLP-1 Ecnoglutide 1·2–2·4 mg/week over Up to 13·3% Up to 0·4% (0·3–0·4) Low drug discontinuation due to Ji et al NCT07143227 (in
receptor agonist 40 weeks (11·3–15·3) adverse events (up to 3%); weight (2025)131 adolescents)
(reduced β-arrestin plateau not reached
recruitment)
Glucagon–GLP-1 Survodutide 0·6–4·8 mg Up to 12·1% (9·2–15·0) Up to 0·25% (95% CI High drug discontinuation due to Le Roux et al NCT06066515 (focus
receptor co-agonist once weekly over with highest dose not reported) with adverse events (up to 29%); (2024)132 on weight loss);
46 weeks highest dose weight plateau not reached NCT06077864
(SYNCHRONIZE;
cardiovascular
outcomes trial)
(Table continues on next page)
900
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Compound or Dose range and Reduction in Reduction in HbA, Other prominent findings Reference Ongoing clinical trials
1c
preparation duration bodyweight, percentage points vs (ClinicalTrials.gov)
percentage of baseline value
baseline value (95% CI; placebo-
(95% CI; placebo- subtracted)
subtracted)
(Continued from previous page)
Glucagon–GLP-1 Mazdutide 3–6 mg/week over Up to 12·3% Up to 0·4% Few participants discontinued Ji et al NCT06519656
receptor co-agonist 24 weeks; 4 or 6 mg (10·5–14·1); up to (0·33–0·47); values treatment due to adverse events (2023);133 (polycystic ovary
over 48 weeks 13·0% (14·3–11·7) not reported for 4 or 6 (up to 6·6% with 6 mg/week); Ji et al syndrome)
mg over 48 weeks despite nausea in up to 50·5%, (2025)134
vomiting in up to 43·1%, and
diarrhoea in up to 38·6%, only
1·5% (for 4 mg) and 0·5% (for
6 mg) discontinued drug because
of adverse events
Amylin–GLP-1 Cagrilintide– Cagrilintide 17·3% (16·6–18·1) vs 0·4% (not more than Improved physical function Garvey et al NCT06131372
receptor agonist semaglutide 2·4 mg/week; placebo; 5·5% the effect of (based on IWQOL-Lite-CT and (2025)135 (vs semaglutide,
combination semaglutide (4·3–6·7) vs semaglutide alone) SF-36v2 scores); drug (REDIFINE-1) cagrilintide, and
2·4 mg/week for semaglutide alone discontinuation due to adverse placebo for chronic
68 weeks events 5·9%; weight plateau not kidney disease in people
reached with type 2 diabetes
and obesity;
NCT06131437
(vs tirzepatide)
Amylin–GLP-1 Amycretin Amycretin 11·7% (6·1–17·3) with 0·1% (–0·4 to 0·1) with High risk for nausea (up to 82%), Dahl et al NA
receptor co-agonist (subcutaneous) 1·25–60 mg 1·25 mg/week; 1·25 mg/week; vomiting (up to 60%), and drug (2025)136
once weekly 23·2% (15·6–30·8) 0·5% (–1·0 to 0·0) with discontinuation (up to 35%), also (phase 1)
with 60 mg/week 60 mg/week with placebo treatment (nausea
up to 94%, vomiting up to 60%)
Amylin–GLP-1 Amycretin Amycretin two 25 mg Up to 11·8% 0·3% (SD 0·3) with High risk for nausea (up to 94%), Gasiorek et al NA
receptor co-agonist (oral) tablets, one 50 mg (9·0–14·6) with two two 50 mg tablets per vomiting (up to 56%), but low (2025)137
tablet, or two 50 mg 50 mg tablets per day day risk for drug discontinuation (up (phase 1)
tablets daily for to 6%), all low with placebo
12 weeks treatment (nausea 8%, vomiting
8%)
Triple GIP–GLP-1– Retatrutide 1–12 mg/week over Up to 22·1% Up to 0·5% (0·3–0·6) High drug discontinuation due to Jastreboff et al NCT06662383
glucagon receptor 48 weeks (primary (19·3–24·9) with with 8 mg (initial dose adverse events (up to 16% with (2023)138 (vs tirzepatide);
co-agonist endpoint for 12 mg/week 2 mg)/week 12 mg/week); discontinuation for NCT06383390
bodyweight: any reason up to 23·5% (with 4 (TRIUMPH-Dual
24 weeks) mg/week); weight plateau not primary outcomes:
reached cardiovascular and
kidney)
GLP-1 receptor Maridebart 140–420 mg every Up to 16·2% Up to 0·3% Nausea in up to 87%, vomiting in Jastreboff et al NCT06858839
agonist–GIP cafraglutide 4 weeks for 52 weeks (13·5–18·9) up to 87%, drug discontinuation (2025)129 (without type 2
receptor due to adverse events up to 29%; (phase 2) diabetes);
antagonistic gastrointestinaI adverse events NCT07037433
antibody and drug discontinuation (cardiovascular
somewhat improved by slower outcomes);
dose escalation; bodyweight NCT06352892
plateau not reached (Chinese patients);
NCT06987695
(Japanese patients)
MASLD (with fibrosis stage F1–F3)
Dual glucagon– Survodutide 2·4–6·0 mg/week Up to 12·1% (95% CI 0·7% points (95% CI More improvement in MASH Sanyal et al NCT06632457
GLP-1 receptor over 48 weeks not reported) not reported); 39% of with no worsening of fibrosis, (2024)139 (LIVERAGE [cirrhosis])
agonists participants with reduction in liver fat by ≥30%,
type 2 diabetes numerically more improvement
of fibrosis with active treatment
MASLD
Triple GIP–GLP-1– Retatrutide 1–12 mg/week over Up to 25·9% (SEM 2·4) NA Reduction in hepatic fat fraction Sanyal et al NA
glucagon receptor 48 weeks by <86·0%; no histology available (2024)140
co-agonist to assess fibrosis
Therapeutic approaches of GLP-1 receptor agonists; dual and triple agonists addressing GLP-1, glucagon, amylin, and GIP receptors; a combination of an amylin analogue and a GLP-1 receptor agonist
(semaglutide); and a unimolecular GLP-1 receptor agonist–GIP receptor antagonistic antibody in advanced stages of drug development (which is currently unapproved for treatment of type 2 diabetes,
overweight or obesity, and MASLD. GIP= glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide. HbA=glycated haemoglobin. MASH=metabolic dsyfunction-associated steatohepatits. MASLD=metabolic dysfunction-
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associated steatotic liver disease. NA=not available.
Table: Current status of clinical trials exploring advanced GLP-1-based medications for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and obesity, and their complications
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high (nausea in up to 12 % [vs up to 28% in phase 2], programme; NCT06066515 and NCT06077864), and a
vomiting in up to 14% [vs up to 36%], and drug phase 2 study in adults with metabolic dysfunction-
discontinuation due to adverse events in up to 8% [vs up associated steato hepatitis and liver fibrosis with and
to 19%] of the exposed participants).122,143 Orforglipron without diabetes has been published.140
will further be studied as a novel treatment for type 2 Mazdutide is another once-weekly dual glucagon–
diabetes in the ACHIEVE programme. The development GLP-1 receptor agonist126,134 that has been mainly studied
of other small-molecular oral GLP-1 receptor agonists in Chinese people. In a phase 2 trial in people with type 2
(eg, lotiglipron and danuglipron) was halted due to liver diabetes, after 20 weeks of treatment, mazdutide (up to
toxicity. 6 mg weekly) reduced HbA numerically more (by up to
1c
1·7% [19 mmol/mol]) compared with the selective GLP-1
Biased GLP-1 receptor agonism: a preferential receptor agonist dulaglutide (HbA reduction of 1·4%
1c
stimulation of cAMP generation over β-arrestin [15 mmol/mol]).126 Bodyweight was reduced more by all
recruitment doses of mazdutide (ie, 3–6 mg/week) than by
Theoretically, biased agonism should prevent receptor dulaglutide.126 Similar to a previous phase 2 trial in
internalisation in response to ligand binding, therefore Chinese adults with overweight or obesity,133 a recent
preserving a greater number of GLP-1 receptors on the cell phase 3 trial (GLORY) described bodyweight reductions
surface that are available for further stimulation. Overall, after 48 weeks of treatment with 6 mg/week mazdutide
this approach aims to initiate greater and prolonged of 14·0% (vs an increase of 0·3% with placebo).134 With
responses, resulting in larger eect sizes compared with mazdutide treatment, 51% of participants experienced
non-biased agonists. Clinical results have been reported nausea and 43% experienced vomiting, but drug
for ecnoglutide, which has been developed as a biased discontinuation rate due to adverse events was low (2%;
GLP-1 receptor agonists. These results indicate a slightly table).126,134 A phase 3 programme (DREAMS) is currently
greater reduction in HbA (0·25% more than dulaglutide, assessing mazdutide (4 mg and 6 mg weekly) as treatment
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the selective GLP-1 receptor agonist) and bodyweight for type 2 diabetes in Chinese populations. Glucagon–
(3% greater than dulaglutide)123 in people with type 2 GLP-1 receptor co-agonists therefore promise greater
diabetes, and increased weight loss (13·3% greater than weight reduction than with selective GLP-1 receptor
placebo treatment) in people with obesity.131 However, agonists, and do not compromise glucose-lowering
given the established variability in eect sizes between eects in patients with type 2 diabetes.
approved GLP-1 receptor agonists,144 whether ecnoglutide
leads to substantially greater eectiveness compared with Amylin–GLP-1 receptor fixed combinations or
other so-called unbiased compounds, is unclear. unimolecular dual agonists
Amylin is co-secreted with insulin from pancreatic
Dual glucagon–GLP-1 receptor agonists β-cells in response to food intake, delays gastric
In human proof-of-concept studies, co-administration of emptying, inhibits glucagon secretion, improves
GLP-1 and glucagon revealed benefits over GLP-1 glycaemia, increases satiety, and reduces food intake
receptor agonists alone, including further reduction in without decreasing energy expenditure (appendix
food intake, increased energy expenditure, increased p 6),146–148 with a mode of action that diers from GLP-1.149
hepatic fatty acid oxidation, reduced hepatic lipid Cagrilintide (once-weekly subcutaneous administration)
accumulation, and improved mitochondrial function, is an amylin receptor agonist.150
without compromising glycaemic control.145 Cagrilintide has been studied in a fixed-dose combination
Survodutide is a dual glucagon–GLP-1 receptor agonist. with the selective GLP-1 receptor agonist semaglutide (ie,
In a phase 2 trial in people with T2D, after 16 weeks of CagriSema) for the treatment of overweight or obesity and
treatment, doses of survodutide up to 2·7 mg once weekly in people with type 2 diabetes. In a phase 3 trial in people
reduced HbA by up to 1·6% (95% CI 1·3–1·8) or with type 2 diabetes, cagrilintide–semaglutide
1c
17 mmol/mol (14–20) compared with semaglutide (1 mg (2·4 mg/week of cagrilintide and semaglutide each)
once weekly; reduction of 1·5% [16 mmol/mol]; table).125 reduced HbA by 1·4% (95% CI 1·2–1·6) or 15 mmol/mol
1c
Weight loss with survodutide (up to 7·7%) was greater (13–17), and bodyweight by 10·4% (9·5–11·2; placebo-
than with semaglutide (5·3%) or placebo (0·9%). The risk corrected).127 In adults with overweight or obesity,
of experiencing nausea (up to 46%), vomiting (up to 26%), cagrilintide–semaglutide reduced bodyweight by 17·3%
or drug discontinuation (up to 30%) was greater than with (16·6–18·1; placebo-subtracted),135 along with reductions in
semaglutide (nausea 9%, vomiting 2%, and drug waist circumference, blood pressure, and improved
discontinuation due to adverse events 5%) or placebo physical functioning scores.135 The eects of the drug
(nausea 12%, vomiting 4%, and drug discontinuation due combination were greater than the eects of either
to adverse events 4%).125 A new weight loss plateau was not medication alone, but less than the sum of eects for both
reached during the study period.125 Survodutide (3·6 mg medications.135 Gastrointestinal adverse events were
and 6 mg once weekly) is currently undergoing phase 3 slightly more frequent with CagriSema than with
trials as treatment for obesity (SYNCHRONIZE semaglutide alone.135 The REDEFINE-3 trial will assess the
902
Review
eect of cagrilintide–semaglutide on cardiovascular events agonist with a GIP receptor antagonist will also provide
in people with overweight or obesity, with and without more weight reduction than with a selective GLP-1
type 2 diabetes and pre-existing cardiovascular disease. receptor agonist alone.152 Maridebart cafraglutide is an
Amycretin is a novel, unimolecular dual amylin– antagonistic GIP receptor antibody coupled with a GLP-1
GLP-1 receptor agonist that can be administered receptor agonist.153 In a phase 2 trial of people with
subcutaneously136 or orally,137 and has been studied in obesity (with or without type 2 diabetes) who received
people with overweight or obesity. In a phase 1b/2a trial maridebart cafraglutide every 4 weeks for 52 weeks,
over 36 weeks, amycretin (once-weekly subcutaneous bodyweight was reduced by up to 16·2% (95% CI
administration) dose-dependently reduced bodyweight by 13·5–18·9) compared with a 1·7% reduction with
up to 23·2% (95% CI 15·6–30·8; 60 mg/week) placebo. Furthermore, HbA was reduced in the cohort
1c
versus baseline (placebo-subtracted).136 Oral amycretin with type 2 diabetes by up to 1·5% (1·0–1·9) versus an
(two tablets of 50 mg daily) reduced bodyweight by up to increase of 0·1% with placebo.129 The proportion of
11·8% (9·0–14·6; placebo-subtracted) after 12 weeks in a participants given the study drug who reported nausea
phase 1 trial.137 The proportion of people reporting nausea (up to 87%) or vomiting (up to 92%) was high but
or vomiting was high, as was the drug discontinuation somewhat improved by a slower dose escalation, and up
rate with subcutaneous amycretin,136 but not with oral to 29% of participants discontinued drug treatment
amycretin.137 because of adverse events. Similar eects of GIP receptor
agonism and antagonism on bodyweight can be
Triple GIP–GLP-1–glucagon receptor agonists explained by their dierent target pathways: GIP receptor
Preclinical studies with the triple agonist retatrutide agonists act on GABAergic neurons, which leads to
showed greater weight loss and reductions in plasma reduced food (energy) intake,11 whereas GIP receptor
glucose concentration compared with tirzepatide.151 knock-out in GABAergic neurons sensitises people to
Retatrutide is in clinical development for once-weekly weight loss induced by GLP-1 receptor agonists.154
administration (table) in people with obesity,138 type 2 Taken together, dual and triple agonists addressing
diabetes,128 and MASLD.140 receptors for gastroenteropancreatic peptide hormones
In the retatrutide phase 2 trial for people with with therapeutic potential promise greater eects
overweight or obesity (BMI ≥30 kg/m²), or with a BMI of regarding glycaemic control and bodyweight reduction.
at least 27 kg/m² with one or more weight-related However, at this stage, these medications carry a higher
condition, the mean bodyweight reduction at week 48 in burden of (mainly gastrointestinal) adverse events
the retatrutide (12 mg once-weekly) groups was up to compared with selective GLP-1 receptor agonists,
24·2% (95% CI 21·8–28·6) compared with 2·1% indicating a need to optimise dose-escalation regimens
(0·7–3·5) with placebo.138 In a retatrutide phase 2 trial for and induce tolerance to such side-eects, or, in the choice
people with type 2 diabetes, 36 weeks of treatment with of appropriate doses, avoid unnecessary nausea and
retatrutide (of doses up to 12 mg/week) resulted in a vomiting.
HbA reduction of up to 2·2% (SEM 0·1) or 24 mmol/mol
1c
(SEM 1), compared with a 1·4% (SEM 0·1) or 15 mmol/mol Conclusions
(SEM 1) reduction with dulaglutide 1·5 mg and a Incretin-based medications have gained an established
0·3% (SEM 0·2) or 3 mmol/mol (SEM 3) reduction with role in the treatment of type 2 diabetes and obesity.
placebo.128 A dose-dependent reduction in bodyweight of Robust evidence exists for their cardiovascular benefits in
up to 16·9% (SEM 1·3%) was also observed (3% [SEM 1] people with type 2 diabetes or obesity, and for preservation
with placebo and 2% [SEM 1] with dulaglutide 1·5 mg/ of kidney function and prevention of kidney failure or
week).128 Mild-to-moderate gastrointestinal side-eects cardiovascular death in people with type 2 diabetes and
were reported in a similar proportion to the selective CKD. Within the spectrum of clinical obesity, closely
GLP-1 receptor dulaglutide.128 However, adverse events associated conditions—including progression to type 2
leading to treatment discontinuation were experienced by diabetes, MASLD, heart failure with preserved ejection
up to 17% of participants given retatrutide, compared fraction, obstructive sleep apnoea, and knee
with 2% given dulaglutide and 4% given placebo. osteoarthritis—benefit in terms of symptomatic relief
Currently, the ecacy and safety of retatrutide are being and improved prognoses. In addition, novel indications
assessed for treatment of obesity in a programme of could arise, exemplified by several neurodegenerative
phase 3 trials (TRIUMPH) in people with overweight or diseases and substance use disorders currently being
obesity and type 2 diabetes. studied. Next-generation medications building on
existing incretin-based medications could provide even
GLP-1 receptor agonist–GIP receptor antagonist greater metabolic ecacy but require large-scale phase 3
combination trials to establish clinical benefits, safety, and tolerability.
Although agents such as tirzepatide have been designed More widespread use, together with the future availability
to provide stimulation to both GIP and GLP-1 receptors, of generic drugs, should reduce treatment costs, which
recent research has shown that combining a GLP-1 currently restrict availability for many people who could
Review
benefit from the rapidly emerging portfolio of incretin- 3 Mojsov S, Weir GC, Habener JF. Insulinotropin: glucagon-like
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Contributors J Clin Invest 1987; 79: 616–19.
MAN, KRT, MHT, and MB: conceptualisation, literature search, data 4 Kreymann B, Williams G, Ghatei MA, Bloom SR. Glucagon-like
interpretation, writing, and reviewing and editing. MAN: drafting figures peptide-1 [7–36]: a physiological incretin in man. Lancet 1987;
and table. KRT, MHT, and MB: reviewing and editing figures and table. 2: 1300–04.
All authors approved the final version before submitting for publication. 5 Nauck MA, Abd El Aziz M, Quast DR. Meta-analysis of head-to-
head clinical trials comparing incretin-based glucose-lowering
Declaration of interests medications and basal insulin: an update including recently
MAN has been a member of advisory boards or has consulted for developed glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and the
Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly & Co, Medtronic, Merck, Sharp & glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide/GLP-1 receptor
Dohme, NovoNordisk, Pfizer, Regor, Sun Pharma, and Structure co-agonist tirzepatide. Diabetes Obes Metab 2023; 25: 1361–71.
Therapeutics (Gasherbrum); has served on the speakers bureau of 6 Müller TD, Finan B, Clemmensen C, DiMarchi RD, Tschöp MH.
AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly & Co, Medscape, Medical Learning Institute, The new biology and pharmacology of glucagon. Physiol Rev 2017;
NovoNordisk, Sanofi, and Sun Pharma; has received support for 97: 721–66.
attending meetings or travel from Eli Lilly & Co and NovoNordisk; and is 7 Scheen AJ, Lefèbvre PJ. Glucagon, from past to present: a century
on a Data Monitoring and Safety Board for Inventiva. KRT has received of intensive research and controversies. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol
investigator-initiated grant support from Travere, Bayer, Benaroya 2023; 11: 129–38.
Research Institute, the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation, and 8 Sánchez-Garrido MA, Brandt SJ, Clemmensen C, Müller TD,
Breakthrough-T1D; reports consultancy fees from Boehringer DiMarchi RD, Tschöp MH. GLP-1/glucagon receptor co-agonism
Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, AstraZeneca, Alnylam, Bayer, and for treatment of obesity. Diabetologia 2017; 60: 1851–61.
ProKidney; and reports speaker fees from Novo Nordisk, Bayer, and 9 Finan B, Ma T, Ottaway N, et al. Unimolecular dual incretins
Boehringer Ingelheim. She reports US National Institutes of Health maximize metabolic benefits in rodents, monkeys, and humans.
research grants R01MD014712, U2CDK114886, UL1TR002319, Sci Transl Med 2013; 5: 209ra151.
U54DK083912, U01DK100846, OT2HL161847, UM1AI109568, 10 Zhang Q, Delessa CT, Augustin R, et al. The glucose-dependent
OT2OD032581, and US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) regulates body weight and food
intake via CNS–GIPR signaling. Cell Metab 2021; 33: 833–844.
project numbers 75D301-21-P-12254 and 75D301-23-C-18264. She reports
being chair of Data Safety Monitoring boards for the US National 11 Liskiewicz A, Khalil A, Liskiewicz D, et al. Glucose-dependent
insulinotropic polypeptide regulates body weight and food intake
Institutes of Health National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and
via GABAergic neurons in mice. Nat Metab 2023; 5: 2075–85.
Kidney Disease, and the George Clinical Institute, and reports being a
12 Finan B, Yang B, Ottaway N, et al. A rationally designed monomeric
member of the Data Safety Monitoring Board for AstraZeneca.
peptide triagonist corrects obesity and diabetes in rodents. Nat Med
She reports leadership roles as chair for the Diabetic Kidney Disease
2015; 21: 27–36.
Collaborative for the American Society of Nephrology, chair for Kidney
13 Coskun T, Sloop KW, Loghin C, et al. LY3298176, a novel dual GIP
Week 2025 Program Committee, member of the American Heart
and GLP-1 receptor agonist for the treatment of type 2 diabetes
Association publication committee, and a member of the American mellitus: from discovery to clinical proof of concept. Mol Metab
Heart Association–American College of Cardiology Cardiovascular 2018; 18: 3–14.
Kidney Metabolic Guideline Committee. MHT has delivered scientific 14 Frías JP, Davies MJ, Rosenstock J, et al, and the SURPASS-2
lectures for Boehringer Ingelheim (2024), KG (2024), AstraZeneca Investigators. Tirzepatide versus semaglutide once weekly in
(2024), Lilly Deutschland (2024), and Novo Nordisk (2024). He is co- patients with type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2021; 385: 503–15.
founder of the biotech startup Bluewater Biotech (founded in 2024) and 15 Aronne LJ, Horn DB, le Roux CW, et al, and the SURMOUNT-5
has, in this role, received support for meetings and travels, and co- Trial Investigators. Tirzepatide as compared with semaglutide for
founder of Penguin (formerly Ghrelco, founded in 2024). As CEO and the treatment of obesity. N Engl J Med 2025; 393: 26–36.
CSO of Helmholtz Munich until September 2025, he was co-responsible 16 Lee MMY, Sattar N, Pop-Busui R, et al, and the SOUL Trial
for countless collaborations of the employees with a multitude of Investigators. Cardiovascular and kidney outcomes and mortality
companies and institutions, worldwide. In this capacity, he discussed with long-acting injectable and oral glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor
potential projects with and has signed contracts for the centre’s agonists in individuals with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and
institute(s) related to research collaborations worldwide, including but meta-analysis of randomized trials. Diabetes Care 2025; 48: 846–59.
not limited to pharmaceutical corporations such as Boehringer 17 Pfeer MA, Claggett B, Diaz R, et al, and the ELIXA Investigators.
Ingelheim, Novo Nordisk, Roche Diagnostics, Arbormed, Eli Lilly, SCG Lixisenatide in patients with type 2 diabetes and acute coronary
Cell Therapy, and others. As the CEO of Helmholtz Munich, he was syndrome. N Engl J Med 2015; 373: 2247–57.
further overall responsible for commercial technology transfer activities. 18 Marso SP, Daniels GH, Brown-Frandsen K, et al, and the LEADER
As President of the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München since Steering Committee, and the LEADER Trial Investigators.
Liraglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes.
October 2025, he has been co-responsible for countless collaborations of
N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 311–22.
the employees with a multitude of companies and institutions,
19 Marso SP, Holst AG, Vilsbøll T. Semaglutide and cardiovascular
worldwide. He confirms that, to the best of his knowledge, none of the
outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2017;
above funding sources or collaborations were involved in or had an
376: 891–92.
influence on the preparation of this manuscript. MB received honoraria
20 Holman RR, Bethel MA, Mentz RJ, et al, and the EXSCEL Study
as a consultant and speaker from Amgen, AstraZeneca, Bayer,
Group. Eects of once-weekly exenatide on cardiovascular outcomes
Boehringer Ingelheim, Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Novartis, and Sanofi; and as in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2017; 377: 1228–39.
a consultant from Abbott; and reports chairing a Clinical Trial Data 21 Hernandez AF, Green JB, Janmohamed S, et al, and the Harmony
Safety Monitoring Board for Boehringer Ingelheim. Outcomes Committees and Investigators. Albiglutide and
Acknowledgments cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and
cardiovascular disease (Harmony Outcomes): a double-blind,
We thank Professor Timo Dirk Müller for helpful discussions.
randomised placebo-controlled trial. Lancet 2018; 392: 1519–29.
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DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)02105-1