Updated trends in the global prevalence and burden of mental disorders,
Summary
Updated trends in the global prevalence and burden of mental disorders, Original Article Background The 2023 iteration of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimated prevalence, incidence, and health burden for 375 diseases and injuries, including 12 mental disorders. We assess past, current, and emerging trends in the prevalence and burden of mental disorders across sexes and age groups, for 21 regions, 204 countries and territories, and by Socio-demogr
Content
# Updated trends in the global prevalence and burden of mental disorders,
*Original Article*
## Background
The 2023 iteration of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and
Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimated prevalence, incidence, and health burden for
375 diseases and injuries, including 12 mental disorders. We assess past,
current, and emerging trends in the prevalence and burden of mental disorders
across sexes and age groups, for 21 regions, 204 countries and territories, and
by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, from 1990 to 2023.
## Methods
Mental disorders included in GBD 2023 were anxiety disorders, major
depressive disorder, dysthymia, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, autism spectrum
disorders, conduct disorder, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, anorexia
nervosa, bulimia nervosa, idiopathic developmental intellectual disability, and
a residual category of other mental disorders. A literature review identified
epidemiological data for each disorder. These were analysed via a Bayesian
meta-regression to estimate prevalence by disorder, sex, age, location, and
year. Disorder-specific prevalence was multiplied by disability weights
representing the severity of health loss associated with each disorder to
estimate years lived with disability (YLDs). Deaths due to anorexia nervosa were
assessed with a Cause of Death Ensemble modelling strategy to estimate deaths by
sex, age, location, and year, and then multiplied by the standard life
expectancy at age of death to estimate years of life lost (YLLs). YLDs equalled
disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for all mental disorders except anorexia
nervosa (the only mental disorder considered as an underlying cause of death in
GBD), for which DALYs represented the sum of YLDs and YLLs. We presented
prevalence, deaths, YLDs, YLLs, and DALYs as counts, age-specific rates per
100 000 population, and age-standardised rates per 100 000 population.
## Findings
We estimated 1·17 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1·06-1·31)
prevalent cases of mental disorders globally in 2023, equivalent to an
age-standardised prevalence rate of 14 210·7 cases (12 849·5-15 940·1) per
100 000 population. These estimates represented a 95·5% (75·0-121·2) increase in
prevalent cases and 24·2% (11·4-41·4) increase in age-standardised prevalence
rate between 1990 and 2023. All mental disorders showed increases in prevalent
cases between 1990 and 2023, while notable increases were seen in
age-standardised prevalence rates for anxiety disorders, major depressive
disorder, dysthymia, anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, schizophrenia, and
conduct disorder. There were an estimated 171 million (127-228) DALYs due to
mental disorders globally across sex and age in 2023, equivalent to an
age-standardised DALY rate of 2070·5 DALYs (1519·1-2750·5) per 100 000
population. Mental disorders contributed to 6·1% (4·8-7·6) of all-cause DALYs in
2023, making them the fifth leading cause of global DALYs (up from 12th in
1990). DALYs were almost entirely composed of YLDs. Mental disorders were the
leading cause of YLDs in 2023 (up from second in 1990), explaining 17·3%
(14·8-20·6) of all-cause global YLDs. Leading causes of mental disorder DALYs
were anxiety disorders (ranked 11th among the 304 diseases and injuries at Level
4 of the GBD cause hierarchy), major depressive disorder (15th), and
schizophrenia (41st). Globally in 2023, mental disorder age-standardised DALY
rates were higher among females (2239·6 [1643·7-3014·1] per 100 000) than among
males (1900·2 [1399·8-2510·8] per 100 000), and peaked in the 15-19 years age
group (2617·3 [1850·6-3696·8] per 100 000). All locations showed increased
mental disorder DALY rates in 2023 compared with 1990, ranging across countries
and territories from 1302·4 (952·7-1683·7) per 100 000 in Viet Nam to 3555·8
(2661·9-4715·0) per 100 000 in the Netherlands. Across SDI quintiles, DALY rates
ranged from 1853·0 (1352·1-2469·3) per 100 000 for middle SDI to 2184·1
(1606·1-2890·3) per 100 000 for high SDI.
## Interpretation
A significant health burden was imposed by mental disorders in
all countries and territories in 2023, irrespective of the health resources
available. In some instances, this burden has increased over time and is
unevenly distributed across populations. Stronger surveillance systems,
particularly in low-income and middle-income countries, are required.
Additionally, we need more coordinated and inclusive policies to reduce the
burden through early treatment and prevention, tailored to sex and age
differences across locations. Responding to the mental health needs of our
global population, especially those most vulnerable, is an obligation, not a
choice.
FUNDING: Gates Foundation, Queensland Health, and University of Queensland.
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DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(26)00519-2